Gloucestershire Weather

All last week we were forecasting either thundery rain or thunderstorms to develop on Monday 25th May, but there was uncertainty about this from the start as the forecasting models couldn't agree on the outcome.

The GFS (Global Forecasting System) continued to forecast a thundery breakdown, even on Sunday, starting in the SW on Monday morning.

But the plume of unstable air, which produced the thunderstorms forecast to travel North into this area actuallly travelled in a NNE direction taking it away from this area.

The SE of England did have some thunderstorms but they quickly travelled out into the north sea.

This was a difficult senario to forecast so it was always at risk of being wrong.

So we missed the thunderstorms, but was that a good or bad thing?

Still time for plenty of thunderstorms this summer